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Pump.fun Memecoin Graduation Data Revised Following Measurement Audit

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PUMPUSD$0.005027 1.27%

A statistical audit of 832,941 memecoin launches on the Pump.fun platform has revealed data collection flaws in widely cited platform metrics. The previously cited 0.198% graduation rate was withdrawn after findings showed the metric only captured tokens completing bonding curves within the first few minutes of creation, improperly treating delayed graduations as failures.

The revised findings highlight the difficulty of accurately measuring launch outcomes on crypto platforms. A separate study utilizing broader sampling methods found that approximately 1.02% of launched tokens eventually reach regular trading pools. Furthermore, a predictive model that initially showed strong predictive accuracy collapsed from an AUROC score of 0.86 to 0.46 when tested on a subsequent timeframe due to calendar term overfitting.

For investors, the findings demonstrate that automated trading remains heavily concentrated in the initial minutes following a token launch. Pump.fun / US Dollar (COINBASE:PUMPUSD) traded at 0.005034 USD, up 1.41% on the day, as researchers emphasize the need for standardized on-chain data collection methodologies.

Key points

  • A widely cited 0.198% graduation rate for Pump.fun memecoins was withdrawn due to data collection limitations.
  • Separate research indicates that approximately 1.02% of launched tokens successfully graduate to regular trading pools.
  • A predictive model for token completion fell from an 0.86 AUROC score to 0.46 due to calendar overfitting.
  • Pump.fun / US Dollar (COINBASE:PUMPUSD) traded at 0.005034 USD, up 1.41% today.

Written by our AI from expert market sources across the web. It can contain mistakes: check the facts before acting on them. Write-ups powered by the free AI API at FreeTheAI.org

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Questions and answers

What is the actual graduation rate for tokens on Pump.fun?

While an early estimate of 0.198% was withdrawn due to collection flaws, broader research indicates that approximately 1.02% of tokens graduate from bonding curves to regular trading pools.

Why was the original Pump.fun graduation rate withdrawn?

The original data collector only observed tokens during their first few minutes of trading, counting tokens that completed bonding curves later as failures rather than delayed completions.

How is Pump.fun trading today?

Pump.fun / US Dollar (COINBASE:PUMPUSD) is trading at 0.005034 USD, reflecting a 1.41% gain today.