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Marston's Expects Full-Year Profit Ahead of Market Forecasts

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UK pub operator Marston's PLC (LSE:MARS) announced that its underlying profit before tax for the 52 weeks ending 26 September 2026 will exceed the top end of market forecasts, which ranged up to 83.2 million pounds. The hospitality group reported a 100 basis point expansion in its underlying EBITDA margin for the financial year, marking its third consecutive year of profit expansion and bringing pre-tax earnings to more than triple 2023 levels.

The company's performance was bolstered by a recovery in fourth-quarter like-for-like sales, which reached broadly flat levels thanks to warm summer weather, major sporting events like the World Cup, and revamped pub formats. Although full-year like-for-like sales dipped 1.2%, venue upgrades such as the Grandstand format delivered returns on invested capital above 30%. Strong cash generation also allowed the business to lower its net debt to approximately 4.2 times EBITDA.

Looking ahead, Marston's plans to accelerate its rollout by converting at least 100 pubs in the coming financial year, following 60 conversions completed in 2026. The board also signaled plans to launch a share buyback program, with formal details expected alongside the full annual results announcement scheduled for 24 November 2026.

Key points

  • Underlying pre-tax profit for FY2026 is expected to top the upper end of market forecasts ranging up to 83.2 million pounds.
  • Underlying EBITDA margin grew by roughly 100 basis points, while net debt was reduced to about 4.2 times EBITDA.
  • Fourth-quarter like-for-like sales improved to broadly flat, bringing full-year like-for-like sales to 1.2% lower.
  • The group plans to accelerate venue conversions to at least 100 pubs in FY2027 following 60 conversions in FY2026.
  • Management intends to announce a share buyback program alongside full-year results on 24 November 2026.

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Questions and answers

What are Marston's profit expectations for FY2026?

Marston's expects underlying profit before tax to be above the top end of analyst forecasts, which range between 76.1 million pounds and 83.2 million pounds.

Is Marston's planning a share buyback?

Yes, the board stated it intends to announce a shareholder return program, expected to take the form of share buybacks, subject to market conditions.

When will Marston's publish its full-year financial results?

Marston's intends to report its preliminary financial results for FY2026 on 24 November 2026.